National signing day has come and gone and unless we add one or more transfers over the next few months, our class is set. Both Rivals and 247 rate our class as one of the best, if not the best, of the Fritz era, though I personally don’t put a lot of faith in team rankings. Hopefully, I’ll discuss that more in another thread.
We’ve just come off of a 2-10 season in which we were 1-10 against BCS schools, and 1-8 against our “peer group” of G5 schools. I doubt many consider that anything other than a bad result. So, I think it is important when looking at recruiting to determine if and how well we addressed problems and, in my view, we have many, including short-term and long-term needs.
The first need in my mind was the coaching staff. While not “recruiting” in the most accepted use of the word, I think it is important. And, whether Coach Fritz has “recruited” the “right” guys, he certainly has addressed, at least in my mind, some major areas of concern-- offensive coordinator, offensive line coach, wide receiver coach, special teams coach, defensive line coach, and strength and conditioning coordinator. Anyway, we’re making changes where changes needed to be made. That’s good. If they work out, that will be very good.
As for recruiting, the truth is that few if any of our freshmen recruits will make major “splashes” to “move the needle” on wins and losses. Although I think the coming season’s schedule is weaker than this past year, I think to win significantly more games, our returning players need to be “coached up” and transfers need to make a big impact. Major areas:
Offensive Line: To me, this is our weakest area. And though we have lots of numbers, those who return, with the exception of Haynesworth, didn’t show much. Until Spears returned to form to make “something out of nothing,” our running game was dormant and our pass protection never approached mediocre. Sadly, while I hoped for one or two transfers to bolster the position, we got none. The three incoming freshmen all look like projects to me, but time will tell. I’m disappointed.
Wide Receivers: Four of our top five wide-receivers return but, in my opinion, none of them would be likely to start for any of our AAC counterparts with the possible exception of Navy. We really need a “go to” receiver and haven’t had one since Mooney left. On the positive side, we’ve brought in two experienced transfers in Lawrence Keys and DeJuan McDougle who, hopefully, can get open and catch the ball—a problem we’ve had for some time. Two freshmen are relatively highly regarded and, with a new receivers coach, could help at some point. Looks like a good start.
Tight Ends: With two five-year guys in James and Wallace, we’re pretty well set here though neither have proven to be much better than average in the AAC. Adding two freshmen Tight Ends was a good move for the future. Our current backups don’t look that good to me and fresh blood was needed. It looks like we got it.
Running Backs: After Spears I’m not sure what we have. Cannon looked good in 2010 and he certainly has the necessary size and speed, but he doesn’t seem to make the cuts needed to find the open hole that is a trademark of top-flight running backs. Booker continues to be hurt and Celestine hasn’t had the opportunity to do much. So, I’m glad to see we brought in a good-looking transfer and a solid freshman recruit for the position. I’m happy with recruiting here.
Quarterback: I really like Michael Pratt and statistically he is the best QB through two seasons we’ve had in forever. I’ll grant he’s been hampered by bad blocking and receivers who can’t gain separation and who drop far too many passes, but he makes some really bad plays too. Of course, after watching Patrick Mahomes blow play-after-play last week, I guess everyone has plays they’d like to get back. Still, Pratt was probably in the bottom half of AAC QB’s last year and in a QB-centric football world, we need better than that. I see some people talk about how we are loaded at QB but Ibieta has been injured for much of his time at Tulane and Horton’s 7 for 18 with 3 interceptions does not provide much confidence. If we went after a transfer to push Pratt, we didn’t get him and, while our freshman pickup looks like a “good get,” I don’t see him doing much in the coming year. To get back to a bowl or better, Pratt and his surrounding support need to improve. We didn’t add anything to help in the short term.
Special Teams: We lost our punter, kicker, and holder and brought in no-one new, other than the coach. We’re solid on kickoffs and I think Casey Glover will also do fine punting though probably not as well as Ryan Wright. Merek Glover had a terrible year kicking but, for what it’s worth, the coaches thought he was better than anyone we have coming back; real problem in my view and we did nothing to solve it.
Defensive Line: We lost Jeffrey Johnson, Dorceus, and Seiden from last year’s line that underperformed in my view and provided at best an inconsistent pass rush. Adding Patrick Jenkins from TCU looks like a good move and we also signed two other DL’s and two more DE’s to the mix, a couple of whom might get some early time. Again, looks OK.
Linebackers: We’ve got our two starters back but lost our primary backups to graduation and only added one Freshman signee. With both Anderson and Williams eligible to graduate after the 2022 season, I think we needed to get more here.
Defensive Backs: We’ve had coverage and tackling issues in the backside of or defense for years with the past season being no exception. And we lost two key players in Kerr and Jaylon Monroe. I like the two transfers we grabbed—Jarius Monroe and Lummie Young, as well as the 4 other freshmen who signed. I’m happy.
So. How did we do? To me, the big fails were the offensive line, place kicker, and linebacker. So far, we haven’t improved them with recruiting. I think our best recruiting (though time will tell) was at wide receiver, running back, and the defensive backfield. Everywhere else, I thought we did what we had to do but am not sure we improved much.
Anyway, over the next few months, we will probably see some departures from the current roster and possibly a pick up or two from the transfer portal. In this day and age, there are many variables.
Roll Wave!!!