The Numbers through the years for Willie Fritz' offense
- By Guerry Smith
- Joe Kennedy's Wave Crest
- 3 Replies
Willie Fritz is a winner. That's unquestionable.
The next question is what type of offense he will run at Tulane. He's already told Tulane officials he will not run the triple option, but his six-year history at the FBS and FCS level indicated it will be run-heavy system.
His history at Division II Central Missouri, where he did not win as much as he did at Sam Houston St. (his teams were good but not great, which probably is why he stayed there 12 years) tells another story, so it will be interesting to see what he does.
Here are the number for his offense from year to year, going backwards in time, with the yards per game listed first and the ranking among FBS, FCS and Division II teams second.
2015
Rush: 355.6 (1)
Pass: 61.8 (127-last)
Record: 9-3
2014 * (I listed where GS would have ranked if it had been official member of FBS)
Rush: 381.1 (1)
Pass: 107.2 (123)
Record: 9-3
2013 (Sam Houston State)
Rush: 265.0 (6)
Pass: 151. (83)
Record: 9-5
2012
Rush: 268.3 (7)
Pass: 190.2 (76)
Record: 11-4
2011
Rush: 255.9 (6)
Pass: 185.6 (83)
Record: 14-1
2010
Rush: 186.4 (26)
Pass: 149.6 (97)
Record: 6-5
2009 (Central Missouri)
Rush: 136.7 (88)
Pass: 278.2 (19)
Record: 8-3
2008
Rush: 126.6 (91)
Pass: 277.8 (19)
Record: 7-4
2007
Rush: 165.2 (55)
Pass: 217.7 (61)
Record: 7-4
2006
Rush: 122.1 (73)
Pass: 272.0 (9)
Record: 5-6
2005
Rush: 189.7 (32)
Pass 229.8 (48)
Record: 7-3
2004
Rush: 214.9 (24)
Pass: 191.1 (70)
Record: 7-4
2003
Rush: 205.4 (27)
Pass: 173.0 (95)
Record: 9-2
It is harder to get the stats from before 2003, but I have the last 13 years, which is a pretty good measure.
Analysis: Fritz had a proficient passing game at Central Missouri, although his most prolific pass offense came when he had his worst year, going 5-6, and his second-best pass offense came when he went 7-4. He never won his league in 12 seasons and advanced to the Division II playoffs once, which explains one reason he stayed there this long.
Clearly, when he got to Sam Houston State, he found that he could win with a dominant run game. His teams have averaged more than 250 rushing yards for the last five years, an astounding stat. When he got to Georgia Southern, he adopted the triple option that was already established by Jeff Monken (and many coaches before Monken, although Georgia Southern had gone away from that style under Monken's predecessor) and the passing game became an afterthought. Georgia Southern has led the nation in rushing the past two years and ranked near the bottom in passing.
I believe Fritz will establish an offense at Tulane similar to what Urban Meyer runs at Ohio State. I covered Meyer for three years when he was at Florida, and even though the Gators put up some good passing numbers, it was all based on forcing an extra man into the box to stop the run and then beating single coverage in the secondary. The pass routes were very simple, and the Gators struggled to throw when opponents slowed down the run game.
But I'm just speculating there. The key for Fritz early will be finding a way to run successfully with a below-average offensive line. His track record says he will be successful in that department. To contend for a championship, though, he will need a more sophisticated passing attack than what he had at Georgia Southern and Sam Houston State. I was very surprised to see he had two teams at Central Missouri that ranked among the nation's top 20 in passing. That's encouraging because it means he can adjust, but since he's had the bulk of his success with a dominant running game, I expect him to start out with that approach at Tulane.
The next question is what type of offense he will run at Tulane. He's already told Tulane officials he will not run the triple option, but his six-year history at the FBS and FCS level indicated it will be run-heavy system.
His history at Division II Central Missouri, where he did not win as much as he did at Sam Houston St. (his teams were good but not great, which probably is why he stayed there 12 years) tells another story, so it will be interesting to see what he does.
Here are the number for his offense from year to year, going backwards in time, with the yards per game listed first and the ranking among FBS, FCS and Division II teams second.
2015
Rush: 355.6 (1)
Pass: 61.8 (127-last)
Record: 9-3
2014 * (I listed where GS would have ranked if it had been official member of FBS)
Rush: 381.1 (1)
Pass: 107.2 (123)
Record: 9-3
2013 (Sam Houston State)
Rush: 265.0 (6)
Pass: 151. (83)
Record: 9-5
2012
Rush: 268.3 (7)
Pass: 190.2 (76)
Record: 11-4
2011
Rush: 255.9 (6)
Pass: 185.6 (83)
Record: 14-1
2010
Rush: 186.4 (26)
Pass: 149.6 (97)
Record: 6-5
2009 (Central Missouri)
Rush: 136.7 (88)
Pass: 278.2 (19)
Record: 8-3
2008
Rush: 126.6 (91)
Pass: 277.8 (19)
Record: 7-4
2007
Rush: 165.2 (55)
Pass: 217.7 (61)
Record: 7-4
2006
Rush: 122.1 (73)
Pass: 272.0 (9)
Record: 5-6
2005
Rush: 189.7 (32)
Pass 229.8 (48)
Record: 7-3
2004
Rush: 214.9 (24)
Pass: 191.1 (70)
Record: 7-4
2003
Rush: 205.4 (27)
Pass: 173.0 (95)
Record: 9-2
It is harder to get the stats from before 2003, but I have the last 13 years, which is a pretty good measure.
Analysis: Fritz had a proficient passing game at Central Missouri, although his most prolific pass offense came when he had his worst year, going 5-6, and his second-best pass offense came when he went 7-4. He never won his league in 12 seasons and advanced to the Division II playoffs once, which explains one reason he stayed there this long.
Clearly, when he got to Sam Houston State, he found that he could win with a dominant run game. His teams have averaged more than 250 rushing yards for the last five years, an astounding stat. When he got to Georgia Southern, he adopted the triple option that was already established by Jeff Monken (and many coaches before Monken, although Georgia Southern had gone away from that style under Monken's predecessor) and the passing game became an afterthought. Georgia Southern has led the nation in rushing the past two years and ranked near the bottom in passing.
I believe Fritz will establish an offense at Tulane similar to what Urban Meyer runs at Ohio State. I covered Meyer for three years when he was at Florida, and even though the Gators put up some good passing numbers, it was all based on forcing an extra man into the box to stop the run and then beating single coverage in the secondary. The pass routes were very simple, and the Gators struggled to throw when opponents slowed down the run game.
But I'm just speculating there. The key for Fritz early will be finding a way to run successfully with a below-average offensive line. His track record says he will be successful in that department. To contend for a championship, though, he will need a more sophisticated passing attack than what he had at Georgia Southern and Sam Houston State. I was very surprised to see he had two teams at Central Missouri that ranked among the nation's top 20 in passing. That's encouraging because it means he can adjust, but since he's had the bulk of his success with a dominant running game, I expect him to start out with that approach at Tulane.